標普下調法國評級展望至負面
- 發佈時間:2014-10-13 01:00:17 來源:經濟參考報 責任編輯:謝淩宇
Standard &Poor’sR atingsServiceslow ered itsoutlook on France’sA A creditratingtonegativefrom stableFriday,castingdoubt ontheeffectiveness of President FranoisH ollande’s flagshippolicies andw arningthatpublicfinancesm ay deteriorateaseconom icgrow thdisappoints.
標準普爾評級服務機構10日將法國A A主權信用評級展望由穩定下調至負面,對法國總統奧朗德的核心政策的有效性提出質疑,並警告在經濟增長放緩的同時公共財政狀況可能惡化。(《華爾街日報》)
“W e believe that,due topolicyim plem enta-tionriskrelatedtothebudgetaryconsolidationandstructural reform s,a recoveryof the Frencheconom ycouldprove elusive andthat France’spublic finances m ight deterioratebeyond2014,althoughthis is not our base-casescenario,”itsaidina statem ent.
“我們相信,因與鞏固預算和結構性改革相關的政策實施可能存在風險,法國經濟復蘇前景不明,其公共財政在2014年之後可能惡化,儘管這並非我們的基本判斷,”標普在聲明中表示。(路透社)
T hechangeintheoutlook com esastheFrench governm ent itself acknow ledgesthatw eak econom icgrow th hasunderm ined itsbudget plansandthebudget deficit w ill runhigher thanprom isedearlier this year.
此次標普對法國評級展望作出調整,正值法國政府承認經濟增長疲弱影響了預算方案、預算赤字將高於今年早些時候承諾的水準之時。(《華爾街日報》)
O fficial figuresfrom theB ank of Franceshow edthat theFrencheconom ydidnot growat all inthesecondquarter,andfor thethirdquarter it is forecastinggrow thof 0.2%.
法國央行的官方數據顯示,二季度法國經濟出現零增長,預計三季度將增長0.2%。(英國廣播公司)
T heFrench governm ent confirm edat thestart of them onth that it w ouldnot cut itspublic deficit as fast as it hadprom isedits EUpartnersduetow eaker thanexpectedgrow thandinflation. T hegovernm ent now expects thedeficit tofall inline w ithanEU -m andatedtar-get of 3percent of econom ic output in2017in-steadof 2015as previouslyprom ised.
法國政府本月初證實,由於經濟增長和通脹水準不及預期,其將不會以此前向歐盟承諾的速度來削減公共財政赤字。目前,法國政府預計財政赤字將於2017年達到歐盟規定的佔經濟産出的3%的目標,而非此前承諾的2015年。(路透社)
S& P projects that the Frenchgovernm ent’s deficits w ill average4.1% betw een2014and2017—com pared to 3 .2% asof A pril thisyear—w hile econom ic grow thw ill average just1.2% duringthat sam etim efram e,agrow thprojectionthat is 0.1% low er thantheir priorforecast.
根據標普的預計,2014年至2017年間法國政府的財政赤字將平均佔國內生産總值的4.1%,高於4月份預計的3.2%;同時期的平均經濟增速將僅為1.2%,比此前預期的增速低0.1%。(《福布斯》)
T he further deteriorationof S& P’s assess-m ent of France’s finances com es at adifficultm om ent for M r. H ollande. W ithopinionpollsshow ingheis theleast popular president,theSocialist leader’s governm ent faces oppositionon all sidesto hisplansto repairpublicfinances andbuoythe econom yafter aprolong-edperiodof stagnation.
標普此次進一步調低對法國財政狀況的評估,正值總統奧朗德的艱難時期。民意調查顯示,奧朗德為法國最不受歡迎的總統。在經歷了漫長的經濟停滯期後,奧朗德領導的社會黨政府也面臨著各方對其修復公共財政、支撐經濟發展計劃的反對。(《華爾街日報》)
S& Psaidthat M r. H ollande’s unpopularityandthe vocal oppositiontohis fiscal andecon-om icplansm ayslow dow nactiononfinancesandliberalizinghighlyregulatedareasof theeconom y. T hecountryalreadylacksastrongrecord forcarrying out painful reform s,theratings firm noted.“W e believe that im plem enta-tionrisks persist,”S& Psaid.
標普表示,奧朗德的不得人心以及外界對其財政經濟計劃的反對可能放慢財政措施的實行和對受到高端監管的經濟領域的自由化進程。該機構稱,法國本身缺乏實施艱苦改革的傳統。“我們相信政策實施的風險將持續,”標普表示。(《華爾街日報》)
F rench F inanceMinisterMichel Sapinreactedquicklytothem ovefrom S& P . Inastatem ent,hesaidFrenchdebt rem ains oneofthesafest andm ost liquidinvestm entsinthew orld . H ealso said thatF rancew ouldn’tchangeitseconom icstrategy.“T heeconom icsituationis w eighingonour budget balances,but thegovernm ent has decidedtosticktoitscourse,”M r. Sapinsaid.
法國財政部長米歇爾·薩班對標普的行動迅速作出了回應。他在一份聲明中稱,法國債務仍將是世界上最安全和流動性最高的投資之一,並稱政府不會改變經濟戰略。“經濟狀況給預算平衡帶來了壓力,但政府已決定堅持既定路線,”薩班稱。(《華爾街日報》)
S& P w asthefirstof thethreem ajorratings firm s tostripFrance of the toptriple-Arating in January 2012,justbefore Mr.H ollandecam eto office. Sincethen,bothM oody’s Investors ServiceandFitch R atingshave follow edsuit andS& P dow ngradedFranceagaininN ovem ber last year toA A from A A +.
2012年1月,就在奧朗德執政前夕,標普成為三大國際評級機構中第一個下調法國3A評級的評級機構。此後,穆迪和惠譽也紛紛下調法國評級。去年11月,標普進一步將法國評級由A A +下調至A A。(《華爾街日報》)
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