全球水貂産量下降，市場調節帶來行業新生機

The global production of mink is adapting to the market. Especially in China, the production has dropped drastically.

當前，全球水貂産量正在進行市場調節，中國的産量下降尤為顯著。

From approx. 72 million mink in 2015 to around 54 million now. That is the estimated level of the world production of mink. The estimate is made by Kopenhagen Fur and is based on, among other things, the number of breeding animals and the amount of feed supplied by feed kitchens around the world. However, because there is some uncertainty associated with the counting of breeding animals in different parts of the world, the count should be seen with reservations.

根據哥本哈根皮草對世界範圍內的種貂和飼料數量進行統計，全球水貂養殖數量從2015年的大約7200萬隻減少至目前的5400萬隻，然而，由於不同地區在統計種貂方面存在一定不確定因素，因此對這一數字應當持有保留意見。

Global decline

全球減産

In Denmark, the Danish mink breeders produced approx. 18,6 million mink last year. Now, the Danish production is at 17,1 million. This number is based on an approx. 7 percent decline in the count of breeding animals. In week 25, the number of kits born this season will be reported, which may influence the Danish production figures. In the remaining Nordic countries, the production has declined by 500.000 - from 4 million to 3.5 million.

去年丹麥的水貂産量約為1860萬隻，如今的産量大約為1710萬隻，這一數字是根據種貂數量減少約7%得來的。在第25周的時候，今年的幼崽數量就會得到統計，這將可能影響丹麥的産量。在其他北歐國家裏，水貂數量從400萬隻下滑至350隻，減少了50萬隻。

A year ago, the total production in Eastern Europe was approx. 16 million and it is estimated that it has now declined to just under 14 million. In Western Europe, an approximate production figure of 7 million last year is now at around 5.2 million. Holland accounts for the largest decline in production. In North America, the production has gone from around 7,5 million mink to just under 6 million.

一年前，東歐國家的水貂總産量約為1600萬隻，當前預計已經減少至1400萬隻以下。去年，西歐國家的水貂産量約為700萬隻，如今大約為520萬隻，其中尤以荷蘭的産量下降最為顯著。在北美地區，水貂産量由大約750萬隻下降到600萬隻以下。

Considerable production drop in China

中國大幅減産

The greatest drop in production figures has happened in China. Here, mink breeders produced approx. 18 million mink last year. That production is now at approx. 8 million. The production of mink was at its highest in 2013. The worldwide production was over 87 million mink, of which China produced 40 million.

水貂産量減少最多的當屬中國，從去年大約1800萬隻下降到當前的800萬隻左右。中國的水貂産量在2013年達到高峰，當年世界水貂總産量約為8700多萬隻，其中中國就佔了4000萬張。

哥本哈根皮草2016年6月拍賣會剛剛結束，期間供應了約700萬張貂皮，有近600位來自世界各地的買家參與了此次拍賣。拍賣現場各類水貂銷售火爆，銷售率接近百分之百。6月22日的拍賣會上，金夫人皮草的潘志軍先生以600美元（約合4000丹麥克朗）的單價購買了藍寶石天鵝絨母皮金牌皮，不得不説是振奮人心的好消息。

此前毛皮行業整體發展經歷了較長的低迷時期，但國內企業有必要經歷去産能化過剩的過程以及這個陣痛期，而這個時期的快與慢，一方面取決於行業本身的承受力，另一方面取決於隨市場需求的波動，行業從業者是否能夠根據趨勢變化作出相應調整很關鍵。相信如果絕大部分皮草廠家能夠緊跟市場需求的變化不斷進行調整，就能很快度過這段時期。